The misery of Group E

Which group in Group E will qualify to the next round, either the Italian, Czechs, Ghana or the USA..

Now the points for each group is:
Italy = 4 ( a win againts Ghana and a draw with USA - I really can't believe it when they unable to beat the US)
Ghana = 3 ( loss to the Italian and win againts Czechs)
Czechs = 3 (win againts US and loss to Ghana)
USA = 1 (loss to Czechs but draw againts Italy)

What are the probabilities?

It seems that each team has the chance to qualify to the next round...the next game will be SO IMPORTANT to the Italian if they want to go to the next round (they only need a draw to go to the next round)...but for the Czechs, which is the next favourite, they have to work hard in the next game (either win or draw)..if they win then sayonara to Italy but again the fate of these two teams lies on the hand of the USA...if the USA win againts Ghana and the Italian draw againts Czechs, then both USA and Czechs will have the same points (how do they decide from here - I'm not sure)...things will be more complicated if USA draw againts Ghana...but if Ghana win (most probably), then the journey for USA is over and the match between Czechs and Italy will be the determinants between these two groups (Italy just need a draw - which I think they can)...

So, who will you think go to the next round...I think this is the most complex group and there's no clear cut who will proceed to the next round...

My prediction: ITALY AND GHANA (Farah will be frustrated)

That's all

~Bye~

Salam